Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.283769 0.330307 0.382186 0.444333 0.516800 0.598686 0.698320
2025-02-09 0.214480 0.277037 0.354417 0.457301 0.590752 0.758349 0.985392
2025-02-16 0.175126 0.242861 0.332817 0.461299 0.640627 0.882869 1.236394
2025-02-23 0.146460 0.215158 0.311815 0.458154 0.675000 0.985914 1.468236
2025-03-02 0.122544 0.189164 0.287662 0.444477 0.689164 1.058561 1.662775
2025-03-09 0.110256 0.177949 0.282608 0.456960 0.742015 1.192913 1.966746
2025-03-16 0.097972 0.164638 0.271968 0.458290 0.776132 1.300729 2.241423
2025-03-23 0.089193 0.155594 0.266586 0.466781 0.822040 1.432063 2.571626
2025-03-30 0.078898 0.142470 0.252480 0.458053 0.836447 1.510486 2.818436
2025-04-06 0.070854 0.132172 0.241810 0.453651 0.857298 1.601737 3.099311
2025-04-13 0.064666 0.124413 0.234611 0.454416 0.887265 1.712446 3.430599
2025-04-20 0.061831 0.122571 0.238020 0.475518 0.958408 1.909114 3.956113
2025-04-27 0.058970 0.120457 0.240910 0.496503 1.033178 2.124589 4.555338
2025-05-04 0.055544 0.116803 0.240371 0.510585 1.095972 2.324573 5.152448
2025-05-11 0.051536 0.111412 0.235600 0.515068 1.138826 2.487961 5.692581
2025-05-18 0.047254 0.104884 0.227634 0.511549 1.163572 2.615101 6.168651
2025-05-25 0.042482 0.096689 0.215106 0.496248 1.159716 2.677939 6.503622
2025-06-01 0.040477 0.094465 0.215424 0.510214 1.225116 2.906815 7.269055
2025-06-08 0.037749 0.090231 0.210692 0.511702 1.260978 3.070733 7.897426
2025-06-15 0.035808 0.087619 0.209384 0.521202 1.317495 3.291358 8.701502
2025-06-22 0.032844 0.082168 0.200717 0.511437 1.324436 3.389998 9.200509
2025-06-29 0.030446 0.077842 0.194282 0.506512 1.343161 3.520880 9.805383
2025-07-06 0.028578 0.074640 0.190272 0.507368 1.377233 3.696053 10.558528